Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates

• Investment firm Bernstein estimates that by 2030, prediction market volumes will surge to roughly $1 trillion. 
• Dollar volumes on the markets surged in 2024, spurred by the U.S. presidential election, then expanded further in 2025 thanks to sports, crypto and macro/political contracts. 
• While a regulatory battle is brewing, Bernstein thinks it’s unlikely to deter long-term growth. 

Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/14/prediction-markets-will-grow-to-1-trillion-by-2030-bernstein-says.html